Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | COR -2000 DART +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +9 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | COR -21.6 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+26.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -16.1 (-7.1) | 140.2 (+28.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -16.4 (-7.4) | 143.0 (+26.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -15.2 (-6.2) | 140.3 (+28.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -17.3 (-8.3) | 138.7 (+30.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | COR 111 – 90 DART |
| Jan 10, 2026 | DART 102 – 91 COR |
| Mar 15, 2025 | COR 87 – 71 DART |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DART 88 – 49 COR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | COR 76 – 64 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-8 | 6-21 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 2-12 |
| Home | 10-1 | 6-7 |
| Away | 10-6 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#95) | -12.2 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#48) | -1.98 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#51) | -2.36 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#39) | 0.411 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 19.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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