Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | DART +145 COR -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +39 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | COR -3.0 (+42.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.0 (-25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -0.0 (+39.0) | 156.4 (-19.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -2.7 (+41.7) | 157.7 (-20.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -0.7 (+39.7) | 155.9 (-18.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COR -1.4 (+40.4) | 156.2 (-19.2) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | COR 111 – 90 DART |
| Jan 10, 2026 | DART 102 – 91 COR |
| Mar 15, 2025 | COR 87 – 71 DART |
| Feb 1, 2025 | COR 76 – 64 DART |
| Feb 17, 2024 | COR 89 – 80 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-14 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 9-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#233) | 1.9 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#224) | 0.27 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#235) | 0.36 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#210) | 0.527 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 50.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 59.1% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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