Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | MILW -135 NKU +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +18 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -2.3 (-20.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -1.3 (-19.3) | 146.9 (+5.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -1.4 (-19.4) | 147.9 (+4.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -1.0 (-19.0) | 149.4 (+2.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -0.8 (-18.8) | 147.3 (+4.7) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | NKU 67 – 62 MILW |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MILW 92 – 70 NKU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MILW 79 – 59 NKU |
| Mar 12, 2024 | MILW 82 – 75 NKU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | MILW 73 – 72 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-14 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#209) | -1.3 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#205) | 0.20 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#208) | -0.08 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#205) | 0.488 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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