Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | NKU -285 MILW +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +5 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -7.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-27.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -6.1 (-1.1) | 149.3 (-20.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -5.4 (-0.4) | 152.5 (-23.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -6.5 (-1.5) | 152.1 (-23.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -5.7 (-0.7) | 150.5 (-21.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | NKU 85 – 67 MILW |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MILW 92 – 70 NKU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MILW 79 – 59 NKU |
| Mar 12, 2024 | MILW 82 – 75 NKU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | MILW 73 – 72 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#189) | -6.0 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#208) | -1.01 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#204) | -1.45 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#226) | 0.449 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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