Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NKU -115 MILW -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +20 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -3.1 (-16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -3.4 (-16.6) | 137.9 (+0.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -2.9 (-17.1) | 138.0 (+0.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -3.5 (-16.5) | 138.5 (-0.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -3.3 (-16.7) | 138.9 (-0.9) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | NKU 67 – 62 MILW |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NKU 85 – 67 MILW |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MILW 92 – 70 NKU |
| Mar 12, 2024 | MILW 82 – 75 NKU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | MILW 73 – 72 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#237) | 2.1 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#244) | 0.56 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#252) | 0.84 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#255) | 0.548 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 40.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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