Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -138 MILW +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +7 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -2.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -1.1 (-8.1) | 153.0 (+4.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -1.4 (-8.4) | 154.5 (+2.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -1.5 (-8.5) | 154.3 (+2.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -1.2 (-8.2) | 153.5 (+3.5) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | NKU 67 – 62 MILW |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NKU 85 – 67 MILW |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MILW 92 – 70 NKU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MILW 79 – 59 NKU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | MILW 73 – 72 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#186) | -3.4 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#185) | -0.21 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#187) | -0.61 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#152) | 0.507 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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