The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Atlantic 10 Conference · John Glaser Arena · January 10, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread SLU -17.5 Home covered
O/U 152.5 Over
Money LAS +1100 / SLU -2100
Model Predictions
Spread Total LAS win
Actual SLU +12 156 Lost
Massey SLU -18.4 (+6.4) — —
Massey Totals — 153.4 (+2.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 4% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 1% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SLU -17.8 (+5.8) 150.9 (+5.1) 13% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SLU -14.5 (+2.5) 150.7 (+5.3) 14% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SLU -15.0 (+3.0) 148.2 (+7.8) 14% ✓
Baseline ML SLU -17.5 (+5.5) 150.4 (+5.6) 13% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 SLU 82 – 58 LAS
Jan 23, 2025 SLU 64 – 52 LAS
Feb 7, 2024 SLU 102 – 84 LAS
Jan 21, 2023 SLU 84 – 71 LAS
Mar 10, 2022 SLU 71 – 51 LAS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LAS SLU
Overall 9-23 29-6
Conference 5-13 15-3
Home 8-6 19-0
Away 1-13 7-3
Neutral 0-4 3-3
Last 5 1-4 5-0
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 66.9 86.4
Avg Pts Against 75.0 71.6
Massey -4.3 (#236) 17.7 (#18)
Bradley-Terry -0.83 (#244) 2.95 (#23)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.85 (#230) 4.47 (#17)
RPI 0.490 (#193) 0.606 (#35)
Shooting & Four Factors LAS SLU
FG% 41.8% 51.3%
3PT% 31.4% 38.8%
REB / G 35.2 43.1
OREB / G 12.5 11.4
AST / TO 1.04 1.48
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.5% 59.7%
TOV% 19.8% 17.0%
ORB% 35.7% 34.8%
FT Rate 26.5% 27.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.9% 42.9%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 16.3%
DRB% 66.9% 75.7%
Opp FT Rate 21.1% 27.0%

Game Analysis

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