Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | LAS +1100 SLU -2100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +12 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -18.4 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -14.5 (+2.5) | 150.7 (+5.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -15.0 (+3.0) | 148.2 (+7.8) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -17.5 (+5.5) | 150.4 (+5.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -17.8 (+5.8) | 150.9 (+5.1) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SLU 82 – 58 LAS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | SLU 64 – 52 LAS |
| Feb 7, 2024 | SLU 102 – 84 LAS |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SLU 84 – 71 LAS |
| Mar 10, 2022 | SLU 71 – 51 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 19-0 |
| Away | 1-13 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#236) | 17.7 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#244) | 2.95 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#230) | 4.47 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#193) | 0.606 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 51.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 43.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 59.7% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 42.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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