Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -5000 LAS +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +24 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -26.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -22.9 (+1.1) | 146.1 (-6.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -20.7 (+3.3) | 146.6 (-6.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -21.0 (+3.0) | 144.8 (-4.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -22.8 (+1.2) | 147.3 (-7.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | SLU 84 – 72 LAS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | SLU 64 – 52 LAS |
| Feb 7, 2024 | SLU 102 – 84 LAS |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SLU 84 – 71 LAS |
| Mar 10, 2022 | SLU 71 – 51 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 19-0 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 19.3 (#16) | -4.5 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.39 (#15) | -0.83 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.83 (#11) | -1.03 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#17) | 0.477 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.7% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 41.3% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 41.4 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.0% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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