Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | LAS -200 SLU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +18 | 186 | Lost |
| Massey | LAS -5.2 (-23.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (+31.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -4.2 (-22.2) | 149.0 (+37.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -3.1 (-21.1) | 147.1 (+38.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -4.3 (-22.3) | 146.8 (+39.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -4.4 (-22.4) | 147.7 (+38.3) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SLU 82 – 58 LAS |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SLU 84 – 72 LAS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | SLU 64 – 52 LAS |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SLU 84 – 71 LAS |
| Mar 10, 2022 | SLU 71 – 51 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 79.8 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#210) | -4.2 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#195) | -0.33 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#188) | -0.58 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#208) | 0.489 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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