Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -750 LAS +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +12 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -7.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-36.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -6.5 (+5.5) | 146.1 (-30.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -4.4 (+7.6) | 145.3 (-29.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -6.0 (+6.0) | 144.4 (-28.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -6.3 (+5.7) | 145.3 (-29.3) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SLU 82 – 58 LAS |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SLU 84 – 72 LAS |
| Feb 7, 2024 | SLU 102 – 84 LAS |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SLU 84 – 71 LAS |
| Mar 10, 2022 | SLU 71 – 51 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#125) | -1.5 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#119) | 0.32 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#117) | -0.06 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#95) | 0.527 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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