In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Atlantic 10 Conference · Chaifetz Arena · January 21, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SLU -13.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money SLU -1400 / LAS +700
Model Predictions
Spread Total SLU win
Actual SLU +13 155 Won
Massey SLU -14.7 (-1.7) — —
Massey Totals — 148.3 (+6.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 93% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SLU -12.4 (+0.6) 148.9 (+6.1) 86% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SLU -13.4 (-0.4) 149.1 (+5.9) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SLU -12.2 (+0.8) 147.8 (+7.2) 87% ✓
Baseline ML SLU -12.7 (+0.3) 147.7 (+7.3) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 SLU 82 – 58 LAS
Jan 10, 2026 SLU 84 – 72 LAS
Jan 23, 2025 SLU 64 – 52 LAS
Feb 7, 2024 SLU 102 – 84 LAS
Mar 10, 2022 SLU 71 – 51 LAS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SLU LAS
Overall 21-12 15-19
Conference 12-6 7-11
Home 15-3 8-7
Away 4-7 5-8
Neutral 2-2 2-4
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.9 69.8
Avg Pts Against 71.7 72.6
Massey 5.3 (#94) -5.7 (#267)
Bradley-Terry 1.28 (#73) -0.61 (#230)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.53 (#78) -1.31 (#277)
RPI 0.590 (#38) 0.477 (#216)
Shooting & Four Factors SLU LAS
FG% 45.3% 41.3%
3PT% 33.4% 32.6%
REB / G 39.1 34.5
OREB / G 10.6 10.7
AST / TO 1.38 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.1% 47.1%
TOV% 16.8% 18.3%
ORB% 30.5% 28.4%
FT Rate 22.9% 19.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.4% 51.2%
Opp TOV% 14.9% 19.7%
DRB% 74.3% 69.0%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 22.0%

Game Analysis

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