Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | WIU +130 TNTC -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +5 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | TNTC -3.2 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-32.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -3.6 (-1.4) | 139.3 (-26.3) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -2.7 (-2.3) | 139.5 (-26.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -2.7 (-2.3) | 140.1 (-27.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -3.1 (-1.9) | 141.1 (-28.1) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | TNTC 97 – 72 WIU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WIU 82 – 69 TNTC |
| Dec 18, 2024 | WIU 71 – 68 TNTC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | WIU 62 – 55 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 8-12 |
| Home | 4-11 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-15 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -15.9 (#354) | -9.0 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.91 (#349) | -1.32 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.03 (#350) | -1.77 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.380 (#349) | 0.434 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.5% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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