Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | TNTC +140 WIU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +7 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | WIU -2.8 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -4.2 (-2.8) | 131.1 (-14.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -2.5 (-4.5) | 129.3 (-12.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -2.8 (-4.2) | 130.4 (-13.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -2.9 (-4.1) | 130.3 (-13.3) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | TNTC 97 – 72 WIU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | TNTC 59 – 54 WIU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WIU 82 – 69 TNTC |
| Dec 18, 2024 | WIU 71 – 68 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#332) | -4.8 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#324) | -0.52 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#320) | -0.39 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#317) | 0.489 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 5.9 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 17.8% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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