Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC -360 WIU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +13 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | TNTC -8.9 (-21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -5.8 (-18.8) | 143.4 (+7.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -7.2 (-20.2) | 141.2 (+9.8) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -7.1 (-20.1) | 142.9 (+8.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -6.9 (-19.9) | 143.5 (+7.5) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | TNTC 97 – 72 WIU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | TNTC 59 – 54 WIU |
| Dec 18, 2024 | WIU 71 – 68 TNTC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | WIU 62 – 55 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#281) | -12.9 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#265) | -2.11 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#284) | -3.03 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#236) | 0.396 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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