Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | WIU -145 TNTC +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +3 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -1.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -2.3 (+0.7) | 142.4 (-3.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -1.1 (+1.9) | 140.8 (-1.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -1.1 (+1.9) | 141.3 (-2.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -1.1 (+1.9) | 140.8 (-1.8) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | TNTC 97 – 72 WIU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | TNTC 59 – 54 WIU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WIU 82 – 69 TNTC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | WIU 62 – 55 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#329) | -7.3 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#276) | -1.16 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.76 (#326) | -2.01 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#298) | 0.469 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 60.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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