Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MORE +195 SEMO -238 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -2.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -2.0 (+4.0) | 143.2 (-3.2) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -3.9 (+5.9) | 142.2 (-2.2) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -2.3 (+4.3) | 146.3 (-6.3) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -2.3 (+4.3) | 145.0 (-5.0) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MORE 66 – 61 SEMO |
| Feb 6, 2026 | SEMO 82 – 70 MORE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SEMO 80 – 51 MORE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MORE 67 – 56 SEMO |
| Mar 1, 2024 | MORE 72 – 50 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-10 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#300) | -2.9 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#286) | -0.63 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#309) | -1.00 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#261) | 0.461 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 62.3% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 41.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.