Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -155 SEMO +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +29 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | SEMO -0.1 (-28.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -0.5 (-28.5) | 137.5 (-6.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -2.4 (-31.4) | 136.6 (-5.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -0.2 (-28.8) | 138.8 (-7.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -0.2 (-29.2) | 138.5 (-7.5) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MORE 66 – 61 SEMO |
| Feb 6, 2026 | SEMO 82 – 70 MORE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORE 71 – 69 SEMO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MORE 67 – 56 SEMO |
| Mar 1, 2024 | MORE 72 – 50 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.7 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#288) | -4.3 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#209) | -0.87 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#244) | -1.20 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#182) | 0.473 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 32.8% |
Game Analysis
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