Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | MORE +154 SEMO -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -3.7 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -1.3 (+6.3) | 140.2 (-13.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -2.7 (+7.7) | 141.3 (-14.3) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -1.5 (+6.5) | 141.2 (-14.2) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -1.4 (+6.4) | 139.2 (-12.2) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | SEMO 82 – 70 MORE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORE 71 – 69 SEMO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SEMO 80 – 51 MORE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MORE 67 – 56 SEMO |
| Mar 1, 2024 | MORE 72 – 50 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-10 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#286) | -3.8 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#225) | -0.42 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#242) | -0.81 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#183) | 0.513 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 35.3% |
Game Analysis
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