Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | SEMO -165 MORE +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +11 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | SEMO -9.2 (-20.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -5.5 (-16.5) | 135.9 (-12.9) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -3.6 (-14.6) | 137.2 (-14.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -5.9 (-16.9) | 137.5 (-14.5) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -5.9 (-16.9) | 135.8 (-12.8) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MORE 66 – 61 SEMO |
| Feb 6, 2026 | SEMO 82 – 70 MORE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORE 71 – 69 SEMO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SEMO 80 – 51 MORE |
| Mar 1, 2024 | MORE 72 – 50 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#229) | -9.1 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#253) | -0.47 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#247) | -1.33 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#249) | 0.470 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.3% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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