Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -4000 SEMO +2200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +22 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -21.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -15.6 (+6.4) | 140.6 (-18.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -16.3 (+5.7) | 139.7 (-17.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -16.9 (+5.1) | 140.7 (-18.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -16.4 (+5.6) | 141.0 (-19.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MORE 66 – 61 SEMO |
| Feb 6, 2026 | SEMO 82 – 70 MORE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORE 71 – 69 SEMO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SEMO 80 – 51 MORE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MORE 67 – 56 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 9-7 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#131) | -15.6 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#126) | -2.74 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#125) | -3.32 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#80) | 0.377 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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