Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MCN -2800 SELA +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -19.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -17.5 (-5.5) | 139.2 (-5.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -16.8 (-4.8) | 134.9 (-0.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -16.8 (-4.8) | 137.0 (-3.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -17.1 (-5.1) | 139.6 (-5.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MCN 76 – 66 SELA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | MCN 88 – 82 SELA |
| Dec 31, 2024 | MCN 79 – 51 SELA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SELA 77 – 74 MCN |
| Jan 13, 2024 | MCN 74 – 65 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 19-3 | 6-16 |
| Home | 14-0 | 5-7 |
| Away | 9-5 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#64) | -6.1 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#53) | -1.77 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#60) | -2.19 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#37) | 0.427 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 60.7% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
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