Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | MCN -1800 SELA +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +28 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -11.5 (+16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -12.5 (+15.5) | 130.6 (-0.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -9.9 (+18.1) | 131.2 (-1.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -9.6 (+18.4) | 132.5 (-2.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -9.7 (+18.3) | 132.2 (-2.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MCN 76 – 66 SELA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 61 SELA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | MCN 88 – 82 SELA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SELA 77 – 74 MCN |
| Jan 13, 2024 | MCN 74 – 65 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-1 | 8-4 |
| Away | 10-2 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#88) | -0.9 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#115) | -1.17 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#107) | -1.54 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#80) | 0.439 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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