Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | SELA +340 MCN -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +6 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -6.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (+34.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -5.5 (-0.5) | 136.4 (+33.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -5.8 (-0.2) | 134.7 (+35.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -3.8 (-2.2) | 135.5 (+34.5) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -4.9 (-1.1) | 137.1 (+32.9) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MCN 76 – 66 SELA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 61 SELA |
| Dec 31, 2024 | MCN 79 – 51 SELA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SELA 77 – 74 MCN |
| Jan 13, 2024 | MCN 74 – 65 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 19-1 |
| Home | 8-4 | 15-1 |
| Away | 9-8 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 64.5 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#188) | 8.2 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#173) | 1.18 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#193) | 1.37 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#174) | 0.576 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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