Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | MCN -800 SELA +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -18.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -16.0 (-7.0) | 131.8 (+7.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -12.1 (-3.1) | 131.0 (+8.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -14.8 (-5.8) | 132.4 (+6.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -15.4 (-6.4) | 133.2 (+5.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MCN 76 – 66 SELA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 61 SELA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | MCN 88 – 82 SELA |
| Dec 31, 2024 | MCN 79 – 51 SELA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SELA 77 – 74 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-4 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 10-8 |
| Home | 18-0 | 9-4 |
| Away | 11-3 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#72) | -7.2 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#38) | -1.03 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#37) | -1.11 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#54) | 0.438 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 41.1% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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