Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | SELA +650 MCN -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +10 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -12.3 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -12.8 (+2.8) | 133.7 (+8.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -11.7 (+1.7) | 135.0 (+7.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -12.1 (+2.1) | 133.4 (+8.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -10.7 (+0.7) | 134.3 (+7.7) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 61 SELA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | MCN 88 – 82 SELA |
| Dec 31, 2024 | MCN 79 – 51 SELA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SELA 77 – 74 MCN |
| Jan 13, 2024 | MCN 74 – 65 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 28-6 |
| Conference | 6-16 | 19-3 |
| Home | 5-7 | 14-0 |
| Away | 2-15 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#256) | 9.6 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#308) | 1.56 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#296) | 2.03 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#320) | 0.582 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.5% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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