Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | SELA +550 MCN -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -12.0 (+15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (+18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -12.9 (+15.9) | 133.8 (+17.2) | 15% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -8.8 (+11.8) | 134.0 (+17.0) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -12.0 (+15.0) | 134.8 (+16.2) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -10.6 (+13.6) | 136.7 (+14.3) | 17% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MCN 76 – 66 SELA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 61 SELA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | MCN 88 – 82 SELA |
| Dec 31, 2024 | MCN 79 – 51 SELA |
| Jan 13, 2024 | MCN 74 – 65 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 30-4 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 17-1 |
| Home | 9-4 | 18-0 |
| Away | 6-10 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 64.8 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#294) | 7.9 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#307) | 2.18 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#315) | 2.86 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#300) | 0.582 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 41.6% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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