Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | WMU +102 EMU -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +17 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | EMU -1.9 (+18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -2.1 (+19.1) | 143.4 (-2.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -1.6 (+18.6) | 142.8 (-1.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -1.9 (+18.9) | 140.6 (+0.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -2.0 (+19.0) | 142.0 (-1.0) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WMU 76 – 62 EMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WMU 61 – 54 EMU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | EMU 70 – 67 WMU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | WMU 73 – 56 EMU |
| Feb 22, 2023 | EMU 66 – 59 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-8 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#263) | -0.9 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#224) | -0.13 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#222) | -0.05 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#222) | 0.477 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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