You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Mid-American Conference · University Arena (MI) · January 10, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread EMU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money WMU +102 / EMU -122
Model Predictions
Spread Total WMU win
Actual WMU +17 141 Won
Massey EMU -1.9 (+18.9)
Massey Totals 143.9 (-2.9)
Bradley-Terry 55%
Weighted B-T 50%
Efficiency Plus ML EMU -1.6 (+18.6) 142.8 (-1.8) 43%
Baseline Tuned ML EMU -1.9 (+18.9) 140.6 (+0.4) 43%
Baseline ML EMU -2.0 (+19.0) 142.0 (-1.0) 43%
Baseline Plus ML EMU -2.1 (+19.1) 143.4 (-2.4) 43%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 WMU 7662 EMU
Feb 1, 2025 WMU 6154 EMU
Feb 28, 2024 EMU 7067 WMU
Jan 24, 2024 WMU 7356 EMU
Feb 22, 2023 EMU 6659 WMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WMU EMU
Overall 10-21 10-21
Conference 4-14 4-14
Home 7-8 7-7
Away 3-13 3-14
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L3 L4
Avg Pts For 73.9 70.2
Avg Pts Against 80.1 74.4
Massey -6.4 (#263) -0.9 (#179)
Bradley-Terry -0.55 (#224) -0.13 (#184)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.76 (#222) -0.05 (#170)
RPI 0.476 (#222) 0.477 (#220)
Shooting & Four Factors WMU EMU
FG% 43.9% 44.3%
3PT% 33.1% 35.9%
REB / G 37.3 36.3
OREB / G 11.2 10.8
AST / TO 1.05 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 49.7%
TOV% 18.4% 17.8%
ORB% 31.1% 30.4%
FT Rate 21.3% 23.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.7% 49.9%
Opp TOV% 13.7% 16.4%
DRB% 69.6% 71.1%
Opp FT Rate 28.8% 21.9%

Game Analysis

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