Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | EMU -163 WMU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +7 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | EMU -2.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-31.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -1.5 (+5.5) | 153.4 (-28.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -3.1 (+3.9) | 149.8 (-24.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -1.9 (+5.1) | 154.5 (-29.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -1.7 (+5.3) | 154.9 (-29.9) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WMU 76 – 62 EMU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WMU 79 – 62 EMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WMU 61 – 54 EMU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | EMU 70 – 67 WMU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | WMU 73 – 56 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-13 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#322) | -8.1 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#327) | -2.09 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#328) | -2.29 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#338) | 0.395 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.