Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | WMU -250 EMU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +17 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | WMU -10.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -6.3 (+10.7) | 143.0 (-14.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WMU -7.5 (+9.5) | 141.7 (-12.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -6.3 (+10.7) | 141.5 (-12.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -6.3 (+10.7) | 142.5 (-13.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WMU 76 – 62 EMU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WMU 79 – 62 EMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WMU 61 – 54 EMU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | EMU 70 – 67 WMU |
| Feb 22, 2023 | EMU 66 – 59 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#267) | -11.8 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#269) | -1.30 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#279) | -1.91 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#264) | 0.424 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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