Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | WMU -140 EMU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +7 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | WMU -3.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (-37.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WMU -2.6 (+4.4) | 147.2 (-32.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -1.3 (+5.7) | 147.1 (-32.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -1.5 (+5.5) | 149.8 (-34.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -1.9 (+5.1) | 149.1 (-34.1) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WMU 76 – 62 EMU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WMU 79 – 62 EMU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | EMU 70 – 67 WMU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | WMU 73 – 56 EMU |
| Feb 22, 2023 | EMU 66 – 59 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-9 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#297) | -8.3 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#329) | -0.44 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#322) | -1.04 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#314) | 0.480 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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