You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
Mid-American Conference · University Arena (MI) · February 1, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WMU -2.5 Home covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money WMU -140 / EMU +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total WMU win
Actual WMU +7 115 Won
Massey WMU -3.2 (+3.8) — —
Massey Totals — 152.4 (-37.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 29% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 35% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WMU -1.9 (+5.1) 149.1 (-34.1) 66% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WMU -2.6 (+4.4) 147.2 (-32.2) 70% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WMU -1.3 (+5.7) 147.1 (-32.1) 59% ✓
Baseline ML WMU -1.5 (+5.5) 149.8 (-34.8) 62% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 WMU 76 – 62 EMU
Jan 10, 2026 WMU 79 – 62 EMU
Feb 28, 2024 EMU 70 – 67 WMU
Jan 24, 2024 WMU 73 – 56 EMU
Feb 22, 2023 EMU 66 – 59 WMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WMU EMU
Overall 12-20 16-16
Conference 9-9 9-9
Home 6-9 9-5
Away 6-10 6-10
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 71.6 73.3
Avg Pts Against 77.0 77.1
Massey -8.3 (#297) -8.3 (#298)
Bradley-Terry -1.89 (#329) -0.44 (#210)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.31 (#322) -1.04 (#240)
RPI 0.419 (#314) 0.480 (#204)
Shooting & Four Factors WMU EMU
FG% 42.2% 45.8%
3PT% 26.8% 35.3%
REB / G 38.2 31.3
OREB / G 13.4 9.3
AST / TO 1.09 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.3% 52.7%
TOV% 15.7% 18.6%
ORB% 34.7% 27.6%
FT Rate 21.8% 24.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.5% 55.4%
Opp TOV% 15.1% 17.6%
DRB% 73.2% 68.6%
Opp FT Rate 24.0% 29.7%

Game Analysis

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