Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | EMU -285 WMU +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +14 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | EMU -7.9 (-21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -5.3 (-19.3) | 145.3 (-7.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -4.8 (-18.8) | 142.9 (-4.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -5.6 (-19.6) | 143.8 (-5.8) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -5.1 (-19.1) | 144.8 (-6.8) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | WMU 79 – 62 EMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WMU 61 – 54 EMU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | EMU 70 – 67 WMU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | WMU 73 – 56 EMU |
| Feb 22, 2023 | EMU 66 – 59 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-14 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#214) | -7.9 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#241) | -1.09 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#232) | -1.31 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#268) | 0.445 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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