Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -1000 UTU +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +16 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -13.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -11.3 (+4.7) | 147.8 (+20.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -13.2 (+2.8) | 147.2 (+20.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -11.4 (+4.6) | 146.0 (+22.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -12.2 (+3.8) | 146.3 (+21.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UVU 104 – 101 UTU |
| Feb 13, 2026 | UTU 81 – 77 UVU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UVU 74 – 57 UTU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVU 79 – 77 UTU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UVU 96 – 80 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#85) | -2.4 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#78) | 0.03 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#77) | 0.12 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#57) | 0.501 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.2% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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