Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UTU +360 UVU -470 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +4 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -6.3 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -3.8 (+7.8) | 145.7 (+12.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -6.2 (+10.2) | 144.6 (+13.4) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -4.0 (+8.0) | 146.0 (+12.0) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -3.9 (+7.9) | 146.8 (+11.2) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UVU 104 – 101 UTU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UVU 92 – 76 UTU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UVU 74 – 57 UTU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVU 79 – 77 UTU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UVU 96 – 80 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#199) | 7.2 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#142) | 1.16 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#144) | 1.43 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#124) | 0.577 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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