Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -1800 UTU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +16 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -13.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+38.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -10.5 (+5.5) | 141.1 (+34.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -9.8 (+6.2) | 141.3 (+34.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -10.1 (+5.9) | 138.8 (+37.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -10.7 (+5.3) | 139.0 (+37.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UVU 104 – 101 UTU |
| Feb 13, 2026 | UTU 81 – 77 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UVU 92 – 76 UTU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UVU 74 – 57 UTU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVU 79 – 77 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 2-14 |
| Home | 12-0 | 5-8 |
| Away | 10-7 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#133) | -7.6 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#112) | -1.43 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#143) | -1.62 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#102) | 0.416 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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