Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UTU +320 UVU -410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +3 | 205 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -5.7 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (+53.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -6.4 (+3.4) | 142.0 (+63.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -3.3 (+0.3) | 144.1 (+60.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -3.9 (+0.9) | 145.0 (+60.0) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -3.7 (+0.7) | 141.9 (+63.1) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | UTU 81 – 77 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UVU 92 – 76 UTU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UVU 74 – 57 UTU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVU 79 – 77 UTU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UVU 96 – 80 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#198) | 6.6 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#125) | 1.27 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#130) | 1.54 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#114) | 0.583 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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