Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -900 UTU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +17 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -11.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -10.4 (+6.6) | 140.8 (-9.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -9.8 (+7.2) | 141.9 (-10.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -11.2 (+5.8) | 140.9 (-9.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -11.0 (+6.0) | 140.2 (-9.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UVU 104 – 101 UTU |
| Feb 13, 2026 | UTU 81 – 77 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UVU 92 – 76 UTU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVU 79 – 77 UTU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UVU 96 – 80 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 2-14 |
| Home | 12-0 | 5-8 |
| Away | 10-7 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#113) | -8.4 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#92) | -2.06 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#113) | -2.18 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#65) | 0.404 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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