Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UTU +260 UVU -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +2 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -7.7 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -7.6 (+5.6) | 144.7 (+11.3) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -7.8 (+5.8) | 143.9 (+12.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -7.7 (+5.7) | 141.5 (+14.5) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -7.4 (+5.4) | 143.1 (+12.9) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UVU 104 – 101 UTU |
| Feb 13, 2026 | UTU 81 – 77 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UVU 92 – 76 UTU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UVU 74 – 57 UTU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UVU 96 – 80 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-26 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 15-1 |
| Home | 5-8 | 12-0 |
| Away | 0-16 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#299) | 2.5 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#325) | 0.86 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#317) | 0.69 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#334) | 0.549 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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