Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | ND +145 CLEM -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +15 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -1.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ND -0.9 (-15.9) | 131.4 (+5.6) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -0.6 (-14.4) | 131.4 (+5.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ND -0.6 (-15.6) | 131.5 (+5.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ND -0.7 (-15.7) | 132.2 (+4.8) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2025 | CLEM 83 – 68 ND |
| Mar 3, 2024 | ND 69 – 62 CLEM |
| Mar 5, 2023 | CLEM 87 – 64 ND |
| Feb 13, 2022 | ND 76 – 61 CLEM |
| Jan 13, 2022 | ND 72 – 56 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ND | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#67) | 14.1 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#48) | 2.85 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#40) | 3.60 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#55) | 0.621 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ND | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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