Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +23 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -11.7 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -12.9 (+10.1) | 144.5 (+6.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -10.2 (+12.8) | 142.2 (+8.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -12.8 (+10.2) | 144.4 (+6.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -12.2 (+10.8) | 145.1 (+5.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | CLEM 76 – 61 ND |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CLEM 83 – 68 ND |
| Mar 3, 2024 | ND 69 – 62 CLEM |
| Feb 13, 2022 | ND 76 – 61 CLEM |
| Jan 13, 2022 | ND 72 – 56 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 3-17 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#72) | 0.1 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#53) | -0.28 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#56) | -0.18 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#64) | 0.468 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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