Betting Lines
| Spread | ND -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
| Money | ND -150 CLEM +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ND +16 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | ND -0.7 (+15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ND -1.7 (+14.3) | 139.7 (-11.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ND -1.2 (+14.8) | 137.7 (-9.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ND -1.8 (+14.2) | 142.3 (-14.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ND -1.8 (+14.2) | 142.7 (-14.7) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | CLEM 76 – 61 ND |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CLEM 83 – 68 ND |
| Mar 3, 2024 | ND 69 – 62 CLEM |
| Mar 5, 2023 | CLEM 87 – 64 ND |
| Feb 13, 2022 | ND 76 – 61 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ND | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#96) | 8.6 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#78) | 1.40 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#90) | 1.91 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#63) | 0.571 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ND | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 40.9% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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