Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM -1600 ND +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +15 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -13.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -14.6 (+0.4) | 144.2 (+6.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -13.1 (+1.9) | 142.2 (+8.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -14.0 (+1.0) | 143.9 (+7.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -13.9 (+1.1) | 146.6 (+4.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | CLEM 76 – 61 ND |
| Mar 3, 2024 | ND 69 – 62 CLEM |
| Mar 5, 2023 | CLEM 87 – 64 ND |
| Feb 13, 2022 | ND 76 – 61 CLEM |
| Jan 13, 2022 | ND 72 – 56 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 15.9 (#28) | 5.5 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.86 (#18) | 0.23 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.56 (#19) | 0.63 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#14) | 0.496 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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