Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | CLEM -125 ND +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ND +15 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -2.9 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -2.1 (-17.1) | 136.8 (+0.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -2.7 (-17.7) | 134.7 (+2.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -2.2 (-17.2) | 137.1 (-0.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -2.2 (-17.2) | 137.7 (-0.7) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | CLEM 76 – 61 ND |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CLEM 83 – 68 ND |
| Mar 3, 2024 | ND 69 – 62 CLEM |
| Mar 5, 2023 | CLEM 87 – 64 ND |
| Jan 13, 2022 | ND 72 – 56 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#74) | 7.7 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#114) | 1.83 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#102) | 2.10 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#148) | 0.584 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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