Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | ND +188 CLEM -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ND +7 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -7.7 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -6.2 (+13.2) | 134.0 (-3.0) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -5.9 (+12.9) | 132.2 (-1.2) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -5.9 (+12.9) | 133.0 (-2.0) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -4.5 (+11.5) | 134.0 (-3.0) | 30% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | CLEM 76 – 61 ND |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CLEM 83 – 68 ND |
| Mar 5, 2023 | CLEM 87 – 64 ND |
| Feb 13, 2022 | ND 76 – 61 CLEM |
| Jan 13, 2022 | ND 72 – 56 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ND | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-8 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#129) | 13.7 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#151) | 2.38 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#143) | 3.22 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#204) | 0.608 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ND | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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