So let the words of our mouth and the meditation of our heart be acceptable in thy sight, O Fari! "By the RIvers of Babylon"-The Melodians
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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95–37 on winners spread MAE 8.1 132 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
USC @ Michigan +20.6 165.6 91% 66–96 ✓
Robert Morris @ Detroit Mercy -0.1 144.8 56% 85–77 ✓
Siena @ Iona +2.0 139.4 59% 72–75 ✓
Marist @ Saint Peter's -4.2 129.7 32% 59–69 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Manhattan -6.9 148.6 21% 79–80 ✗
Wagner @ Chicago State -1.7 147.8 45% 79–72 ✓
New Haven @ Stonehill +0.5 124.1 38% 70–55 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Long Island University +5.0 148.4 70% 78–84 ✓
Le Moyne @ Saint Francis -6.9 148.3 20% 84–58 ✓
Lamar @ McNeese +16.2 141.8 87% 70–82 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Liberty +6.2 153.1 73% 73–81 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Delaware +0.3 128.1 47% 67–64 ✗
Oregon @ Maryland -3.0 147.9 36% 64–54 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Mercyhurst +7.9 132.1 72% 74–67 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee +8.0 128.3 76% 51–88 ✓
Louisville @ Stanford -8.2 152.6 21% 76–80 ✗
Ohio State @ Rutgers -9.3 147.9 19% 80–73 ✓
UTEP @ Missouri State +1.8 131.2 52% 55–79 ✓
West Virginia @ Iowa State +17.7 140.3 88% 59–80 ✓
Seattle U @ Gonzaga +22.1 144.1 90% 72–80 ✓
Michigan State @ Nebraska +4.4 141.9 59% 56–58 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Washington State -0.3 135.7 46% 76–78 ✗
San Diego @ San Francisco +10.0 144.1 82% 64–74 ✓
Portland @ Saint Mary's +17.8 142.3 90% 57–78 ✓
Pepperdine @ Santa Clara +17.7 143.3 88% 63–82 ✓
Oregon State @ Pacific +5.7 137.1 74% 53–84 ✓
Notre Dame @ California +4.4 136.6 67% 71–72 ✓
Virginia @ NC State +6.0 153.5 71% 76–61 ✗
Kentucky @ Alabama +7.3 166.1 81% 74–89 ✓
VCU @ Duquesne -3.5 159.6 30% 93–80 ✓
UTSA @ Temple +13.4 145.3 88% 57–76 ✓
Villanova @ Butler +2.8 143.9 66% 85–67 ✗
Providence @ St. John's +13.6 166.5 88% 77–71 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Wake Forest +2.8 150.8 64% 78–81 ✓
Clemson @ Pittsburgh -1.5 134.1 45% 73–68 ✓
Northeastern @ Campbell +1.2 150.7 57% 82–97 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech +10.2 159.2 81% 80–102 ✓
Auburn @ Georgia +9.4 165.1 85% 100–104 ✓
Colgate @ Army -4.5 149.0 37% 76–69 ✓
American University @ Boston University +1.3 149.5 61% 64–62 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Kent State +11.8 155.0 86% 73–77 ✓
Vermont @ New Hampshire -4.4 141.4 31% 80–61 ✓
Chattanooga @ VMI -3.1 143.4 36% 71–79 ✗
Wofford @ The Citadel -10.1 134.9 18% 95–86 ✓
Southern Miss @ Louisiana -6.4 130.1 26% 74–67 ✓
Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina +8.2 139.6 77% 89–71 ✗
BYU @ Kansas State -4.5 160.7 30% 83–73 ✓
Houston @ Cincinnati -3.4 133.1 33% 67–60 ✓
Vanderbilt @ South Carolina -8.5 152.4 17% 83–71 ✓
Kansas @ UCF -1.4 145.0 44% 75–81 ✗
La Salle @ George Washington +16.8 149.2 88% 55–77 ✓
Dayton @ Loyola Chicago -9.9 141.8 17% 70–68 ✓
Baylor @ TCU +2.5 155.8 51% 63–69 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Presbyterian +0.0 134.0 44% 77–86 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Charleston Southern +6.2 145.1 80% 83–86 ✓
Longwood @ High Point +17.4 158.5 88% 67–80 ✓
Xavier @ DePaul +2.8 141.0 66% 77–86 ✓
Navy @ Holy Cross -2.7 134.0 35% 65–58 ✓
South Dakota State @ North Dakota -5.2 145.4 32% 87–90 ✗
Ohio @ Eastern Michigan +1.9 143.1 58% 68–67 ✗
Bowling Green @ Massachusetts -2.2 143.0 41% 101–100 ✓
Ball State @ Buffalo +12.3 136.4 85% 72–85 ✓
NJIT @ Binghamton -0.2 141.5 49% 73–65 ✓
Bryant @ Maine -1.5 127.6 33% 56–51 ✓
UAlbany @ UMass Lowell +1.9 150.3 62% 71–83 ✓
Hofstra @ Drexel -8.5 135.8 21% 70–67 ✓
Stetson @ Central Arkansas +11.6 140.1 85% 73–93 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ West Georgia +1.2 149.0 62% 76–88 ✓
Boston College @ Georgia Tech +5.2 136.2 72% 53–65 ✓
North Carolina @ SMU +2.2 146.7 61% 83–97 ✓
Memphis @ Rice -9.1 140.1 21% 76–70 ✓
Toledo @ Central Michigan -7.7 148.9 18% 78–75 ✓
James Madison @ Arkansas State +10.0 158.0 83% 78–74 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ North Alabama -1.6 147.1 41% 72–55 ✓
Bellarmine @ Queens University +1.8 159.6 69% 76–98 ✓
Tennessee @ Arkansas +3.4 150.2 63% 75–86 ✓
Florida A&M @ Bethune-Cookman +4.8 144.3 65% 83–87 ✓
Akron @ Miami (OH) +2.2 166.3 71% 73–76 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Old Dominion +0.1 153.1 44% 93–86 ✗
Ole Miss @ Oklahoma +6.3 142.3 75% 70–86 ✓
Duke @ Florida State -10.3 152.5 16% 91–87 ✓
Texas State @ UL Monroe -3.0 148.8 47% 84–79 ✓
Arizona @ Utah -15.4 156.5 13% 97–78 ✓
Rhode Island @ George Mason +6.4 136.1 75% 50–61 ✓
San José State @ Utah State +20.1 146.5 91% 78–96 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Winthrop +20.4 156.0 90% 77–88 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Northridge +0.9 156.1 55% 65–74 ✓
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State +11.6 139.9 85% 77–79 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Stony Brook +4.7 136.6 67% 80–81 ✓
Samford @ UNC Greensboro -0.3 144.9 52% 82–89 ✗
Western Carolina @ Furman +11.3 147.4 87% 80–77 ✗
Mercer @ East Tennessee State +5.1 144.1 70% 71–77 ✓
App State @ Marshall +6.4 135.9 73% 81–88 ✓
LSU @ Texas A&M +1.5 162.4 62% 72–75 ✓
Utah Valley @ Abilene Christian -9.9 140.8 17% 68–85 ✗
Howard @ South Carolina State -11.2 135.9 14% 57–58 ✗
Norfolk State @ North Carolina Central -5.0 135.3 27% 67–69 ✗
Alcorn State @ Jackson State +1.1 148.7 49% 86–89 ✓
Morgan State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +8.1 136.5 78% 49–66 ✓
Coppin State @ Delaware State +10.1 133.6 85% 53–51 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ SE Louisiana -9.1 135.1 19% 73–63 ✓
New Orleans @ Northwestern State -2.9 148.0 43% 68–74 ✗
East Texas A&M @ Nicholls +9.5 145.6 83% 58–80 ✓
South Alabama @ Troy +7.3 150.3 74% 49–59 ✓
Morehead State @ SIU Edwardsville +4.5 132.2 63% 73–72 ✗
Tennessee State @ Little Rock -3.8 142.9 35% 84–79 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Lindenwood +13.4 140.5 87% 80–83 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ UT Martin +9.2 132.9 82% 61–65 ✓
Western Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State +10.2 145.8 83% 50–73 ✓
Lehigh @ Bucknell +2.1 136.1 48% 65–72 ✓
Minnesota @ Northwestern +7.4 135.5 75% 84–78 ✗
Air Force @ UNLV +9.3 140.3 83% 39–67 ✓
Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word +7.3 143.7 78% 56–73 ✓
Lafayette @ Loyola Maryland +0.1 148.9 45% 79–64 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Davis +11.9 150.1 85% 81–79 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Idaho +10.4 153.8 83% 81–84 ✓
North Florida @ Lipscomb +16.1 157.8 88% 74–82 ✓
Jacksonville @ Austin Peay +12.2 137.9 86% 68–71 ✓
California Baptist @ Tarleton State +2.9 141.5 66% 76–81 ✓
Colorado @ Arizona State +3.8 155.5 68% 95–89 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Grambling +6.1 149.2 78% 72–76 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UT Rio Grande Valley +2.2 133.4 63% 63–59 ✗
UCLA @ Iowa +8.1 142.6 77% 61–74 ✓
Davidson @ Saint Joseph's -2.7 141.8 40% 62–56 ✓
Texas Southern @ Southern +9.2 153.6 78% 73–84 ✓
Monmouth @ Towson +7.1 132.4 75% 62–48 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Montana -0.4 155.3 54% 79–88 ✗
Portland State @ Idaho State +5.0 141.1 71% 93–87 ✗
Mississippi State @ Texas +7.4 152.5 73% 101–98 ✗
Wichita State @ Charlotte -6.4 138.4 26% 100–104 ✗
Alabama State @ Mississippi Valley State -9.8 146.1 15% 89–69 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -1.4 145.7 40% 83–95 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.