Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | KENT -1800 NIU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -15.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -12.7 (-8.7) | 152.8 (-2.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -12.5 (-8.5) | 152.6 (-2.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -11.2 (-7.2) | 153.8 (-3.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -11.8 (-7.8) | 155.0 (-5.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | KENT 102 – 76 NIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | KENT 68 – 50 NIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | KENT 85 – 47 NIU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | KENT 83 – 76 NIU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | KENT 76 – 57 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.2 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 78.9 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#156) | -10.6 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#101) | -1.27 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#117) | -1.85 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#69) | 0.445 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 33.8% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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