Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | KENT -600 NIU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +38 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -9.6 (+28.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -6.9 (+31.1) | 148.2 (-16.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -9.8 (+28.2) | 148.2 (-16.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -6.7 (+31.3) | 145.1 (-13.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -6.2 (+31.8) | 146.2 (-14.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | KENT 102 – 76 NIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | KENT 77 – 73 NIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | KENT 68 – 50 NIU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | KENT 83 – 76 NIU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | KENT 76 – 57 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#174) | -6.9 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#211) | -0.84 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#211) | -1.09 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#203) | 0.462 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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