Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | NIU +425 KENT -575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +26 | 178 | Lost |
| Massey | KENT -8.8 (-17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (+23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -7.7 (-18.3) | 149.8 (+28.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -8.3 (-17.7) | 150.1 (+27.9) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -8.2 (-17.8) | 148.2 (+29.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -8.8 (-17.2) | 148.1 (+29.9) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | KENT 77 – 73 NIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | KENT 68 – 50 NIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | KENT 85 – 47 NIU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | KENT 83 – 76 NIU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | KENT 76 – 57 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 14-4 |
| Home | 6-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-14 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 82.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -11.8 (#326) | 0.0 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#307) | 0.97 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#324) | 1.04 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#308) | 0.568 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 32.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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