Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | NIU +170 KENT -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +7 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | KENT -0.2 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -0.5 (-6.5) | 153.7 (+5.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -1.3 (-5.7) | 153.3 (+5.7) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIU -0.3 (-7.3) | 152.1 (+6.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIU -0.1 (-7.1) | 152.4 (+6.6) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | KENT 102 – 76 NIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | KENT 77 – 73 NIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | KENT 68 – 50 NIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | KENT 85 – 47 NIU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | KENT 76 – 57 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-9 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#263) | -0.9 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#225) | -0.39 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#220) | -0.46 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#196) | 0.489 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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