Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | KENT -1400 NIU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +19 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -12.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -11.3 (+7.7) | 144.1 (-11.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -11.0 (+8.0) | 143.6 (-10.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -10.6 (+8.4) | 143.4 (-10.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -10.5 (+8.5) | 144.5 (-11.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | KENT 102 – 76 NIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | KENT 77 – 73 NIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | KENT 68 – 50 NIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | KENT 85 – 47 NIU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | KENT 83 – 76 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-0 | 5-7 |
| Away | 9-6 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#73) | -4.3 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#54) | -0.86 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#72) | -0.93 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#26) | 0.473 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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