Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | NIU +700 KENT -1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +18 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | KENT -12.8 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -13.2 (-4.8) | 134.7 (-16.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -12.8 (-5.2) | 132.7 (-14.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -13.6 (-4.4) | 133.9 (-15.9) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -12.9 (-5.1) | 133.4 (-15.4) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | KENT 102 – 76 NIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | KENT 77 – 73 NIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | KENT 85 – 47 NIU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | KENT 83 – 76 NIU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | KENT 76 – 57 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-10 | 11-4 |
| Away | 1-15 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -15.3 (#355) | 1.5 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#334) | 0.90 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.89 (#335) | 0.92 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#341) | 0.552 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.1% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 26.6% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.2% | 42.8% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 17.0% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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